perjantai 22. tammikuuta 2016

September 1623 - Day 11

The landowner Martti is excited about the war. King's forces are holding the ground victorious, and our settlements in the north have been secured. SCI advances will start right in 1624, the following year! The town has also become like an army camp, with the companies of two Dukes returned from their journeys, both scoring a decisive victory in their battles.

Both the Changelog and MyItems show no meaningful changes, with the balance at 4.6 mil, so it is time to proceed as planned and acquire the production assets before the slaughter season.

PIGs are still for sale at 2.0 mil and their annual yield is nominally worth 0.25, albeit has been much higher lately, but that is perhaps due to the war and disruptions. Since it renews itself, the IRR (Internal Rate of Return, used to compare investments) is 0.25/2.0 = 12.5%.

The other option DIS costs 0.9 mil and yields 0.1, for 0.1/0.9 = 11.1% IRR. Also this product (mead) has been much more expensive lately.


The NPCs are more difficult to evaluate, and since they are open for everyone to buy, probably their yield is lower as well. (The historical yield for NPC in 1600s has been about 3-5%, for buildings 1-3%, for CON perpetual bonds ~1% and for CKG even less.)

A balanced approach, therefore... - is to buy 2*PIG and sell the meat right as it comes, and buy DIS with the proceeds (because DIS dividend season is early next year). Other lowballs in the market are left there just in case.

The building on the new land will have to wait (building is not enabled by the game now). And the brown clothes actually suit well towards tending to 3 pigs over the winter, though they will need to be updated before the promotion round about a year from now. At present, all the money goes to pig speculation anyway.

The state of Martti's health challenge is concerning. It is still Severe, and all the entry-level consumables are at 2.5x their normal prices. Since Beer has now become a decent alternative (if no bread, let them eat cake!), an unusual move is to supplement the own stash with buying up to the total of 40*BEER and drink it and get both the variety and the frequency bonus.

Despite the move being Effective, the remaining challenge is still Severe, and Martti feels a bit worried, hoping that the remainder of the veg harvest is good.

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