January 1631 - Day 70

Martti is 25! Health is Good and Wisdom is 5. As was discussed in the previous posts, the financials are in good order. It is only if you get entangled with too short term, you start to panic or lose the big picture.

Becoming Earl will probably be more difficult even, than to get the 1,000 mil. Or at least it requires that the game "opens" to much more players during the time (which of course is planned). Because not everyone can be an Earl, the originally quite modest requirements have crept up so that few earls even have only 1,000 mil in assets!

Upon checking his belongings, Martti notices some wine bottles, bought as merchandise, but difficult to sell on. Wine is special in that most things either clearly increase in value by paying dividends etc. (CON), or have a fixed price and spoil annually (MEAD), but Wines (20 different exist) are an investment early during the life, and become a liability in the latter part because they spoil as a one-time event and turn undrinkable.

Of such large selection, everyone finds a suitable wine for him and Martti could very well start considering as well. W1620 ask is as low as 13k per bottle, so it should already trump beer-drinking. How? Wines are believed to be about twice as healthy as beer, and the W1620 is 14/20 points, 11 years old French wine, so nothing to be sneered at. Its only disadvantage is too large stock levels in relation to the fact that the wine will start declining now. So clearance sale. The rest of the claim is proven by varietyBonus that is up to 4.0 if only 1 bottle is consumed.

With the believed 2:1 health ratio and observed 13:3 price ratio, and assuming that BEER is anyway consumed so much that its frequencyBonus is completely used, it makes sense to consume W1620 until its frequencyBonus marginal benefit goes below 2.17. In this case it happens already at 4 bottles for not much gain, but the formula is good to keep in mind and low bids placed, which change the dynamics much more (even at the current bid = 10k buy price, the optimal consume threshold is 12 bottles already).