November 1631 - Day 67-68

Martti has made a friend: a contemporary of his (both are 24-25 y), Rakshasa has come to town and has already read all of Martti's histories, holds them in high regard, and aims to surpass Martti in progress soon. What could be better! :)

Well, not waking up to a -21 mil balance perhaps... The recent NPC round included the retire&promote part, and 5 of Martti's tailors decided to retire. Only 2 promoted, and 5 suits got eaten by the great moth - the ancient one was spared luckily. To top it up, Labor dumped on quite a number of Martti NPC bids, which of course is good (cheap workforce) but makes the cashflow quite problematic.

Martti's longer term plan was to crunch the numbers of all NPCs with a probabilistic simulation, since none of the essential information of probabilities is hidden. But that will have to wait now - there is urgent business now.

Getting back to the black is not an easy exercise, because few of Martti's items are readily tradable. Even a visit to the Gilded Goose and backroom dealings with antiques was required. After a suit spoil round, at least suits should fly off the shelves, but they don't do it immediately, so asks need to be placed with insight. Even health was difficult to be finished as negative balance forbids placement of bids. A lousy day all in all.

In the larger game side, everyone is still waiting for Buildings, and in the meantime, they got a valuation calculation. The game is worth 1.14 M XMR (about the same in fiat). With the ingame items, a basic rule holds that: larger item marketcap causes better liquidity, which causes its price to go up, and this causes the liquidity to get even better, pushing the yield down. The premier investment, CKG, has had an about 0.3% yield, and CON has about 0.5%.

Loan can be had at 1.5%, and in the trading-intensive, small, risky, younameit, items, yield should far surpass the loan cost. The retirement of so many tailors was devastating, though, and only longer term will prove whether the business was good in the first place. (In the very long term, things will balance out because clothes are always in need.)